Looking ahead in the next weeks, injuries and poor performances will continue as in week 1. While injuries are hard to predict, the poor performances are something owners can spot. In this Thursday/Friday piece, I am going to look at the players on the wire who have been suggested and whether I think there is some long-term value for these players or that they are 1-week wonders. Some of these players will be fairly obvious and some will be for deep leagues where owners are taking fliers on certain picks:
Overrated
Mike Bell – 143 yds (ADP: None): I am not as sold as others on the value of Bell. When Pierre Thomas comes back, I fully expect a full workload for him and for Bell to be put in sparsely. Running against the Lions is more of an outlier and I believe that against tougher defenses, Bell will sputter and Thomas will be able to fill this void.
Michael Clayton – 5 rec, 93 yds (ADP: None): In a mediocre offense, Clayton is not a guy I would recommend. Add to the fact that he is wildly inconsistent as seen by past seasons and I would not invest much in a WR who has somehow been with the Bucs for 5 yrs! Surprising fact of the week.
Ben Watson – 6 rec, 77 yds, 2 TD’s (ADP: None): Similar to Clayton, Watson can put up stat lines such as the impressive one he did against Buffalo in week 1 and can go without catches the next week. This is more a product of New England’s offense than anything else, but I would be weary as there should be better options available at the TE position.
Underrated
Mewelde Moore – 8 yds rushing, 4 rec, 28 yds rec (ADP: None): Although Parker and Mendenhall seem to be ahead of Moore, Moore is worth a stash in PPR leagues. There are enough dumpoffs in a game that go to Moore where he can serve value and if either of those RB’s go down, then Moore could possibly be good enough for a start down the road for fantasy owners.
Brent Celek – 6 rec, 37 yds, 1 TD (ADP: 151.3): Celek seems to have great chemistry with McNabb, who is now injured. Celek will still remain a viable option with solid value as he was picked at the latter end of most drafts. In PPR leagues, Celek has lots of value as well as he has many dropoffs fed to him as well.
Davone Bess – 7 rec, 57 yds (ADP: 157.9): Bess seemed to be going up and down during the preseason with his inability to secure the #2 job in the Dolphins receiving core. But Bess’ line against the Falcons slightly exceeds expectations and he should have the job moving forward.
“Evenly rated”
Matt Leinart – No stats (ADP: None): I put Leinart here for deep stash leagues where at some point, I expect Warner to falter for poor performance or injury. The NFL moves faster than any other league and if there is are results similar to Week 1 from Warner, you can expect Leinart to be in an offense that is one of the most high-powered in the league.
Nate Burleson – 7 rec, 74 yds, 1 TD (ADP: 139.9): Burleson benefits from an injured Deion Branch and no more Bobby Engram in the offense. Hasselbeck should feed the ball a lot to both Houshmandzadeh and Burleson and I expect WR2/WR3 numbers from Burleson this season. If on the wires, he is a worthy pickup
Earl Bennett – 7 rec, 66 yds (ADP: 119.5): A large number of targets for Bennett (13) and clearly has a connection with Cutler. Not as valuable in TD leagues, but for PPR formats, Bennett seems to be serving as a possession receiving to get first downs. There is value in him, but be weary depending on what your league values.
Enjoy the games this week!
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