A long time since I last posted. I said that I would try to make 2-3 posts a week before each week. I should have something up on the Tuesdays and Thursdays. From my end, I am going to write about performances and more so how they relate to the ADP of players. It has only been one week, but certain players definitely standout with their scoring line and some make you wonder whether they merited the round they were selected.
The Bad
Brandon Marshall (ADP 54.3) & Eddie Royal (ADP 53.0):
Marshall – 4 rec, 27 yds & Royal – 2 rec, 18 yds
I discuss both because the Denver offense looked awful. I expect Marshall to struggle even more because of Orton’s inability to throw the deep ball. In PPR leagues, I expect more from Royal and see this week as more of an outlier. The offense could not get much worse and should start moving in the right direction in the weeks ahead.
Steve Slaton (ADP 13.7): 17 yds rushing; 3 rec, 35 yds receiving
I find the Texans as a confusing team to watch. Some weeks, they look phenomenal and other weeks, they look like one of the worst teams in the league. Slaton only ran for 17 yards this week and with the Titans up next, Slaton could have more trouble getting anything going in the run game
Steve Smith (ADP 21.4): 3 rec, 21 yds
Delhomme would be an easy target here, but I would be more concerned with Smith and a lower level, DeAngelo Williams & Jonathan Stewart. Delhomme & Smith definitely have a connection for long-ball strikes and without that ongoing, Smith drops to a WR2
Anthony Gonzalez (ADP 46.9): 0 rec
Gonzalez is injured, but what is more concerning is this 2-6 week stretch. If this injury turns out to be a 4, 5 or 6-week injury, this is extremely concerning. Even when back, Gonzalez will need to regain trust & rapport with Manning, which is not a guarantee. Gonzalez’s situation will be one to watch in one of the oddest injuries I have seen in some time in NFL
Greg Olsen (ADP 62.7): 1 rec, 8 yds
I am intrigued to see if week 1 was an aberration for a guy who was hyped up for a huge season with Cutler this year. Olsen has been hyped as a upcoming TE1 and last night did nothing to inspire any confidence. There was very little to show of it against Green Bay and with Pittsburgh coming up, life does not get much easier
The Remains To Be Seen
Thomas Jones (ADP 58.7): 107 yds rushing, 2 TD’s
What will define Jones and Leon Washington is if the Jets do not have to come from behind in games. This is still the same team with a strong offensive line and a defense that arguably has become better with the additions of Bart Scott & Jim Leonhard. If the Jets can do well, the running game can do well and Jones could be better than people anticipated
Julius Jones (ADP 92.0): 117 yds rushing, 1 TD; 2 rec, 19 yds receiving
The Bad
Brandon Marshall (ADP 54.3) & Eddie Royal (ADP 53.0):
Marshall – 4 rec, 27 yds & Royal – 2 rec, 18 yds
I discuss both because the Denver offense looked awful. I expect Marshall to struggle even more because of Orton’s inability to throw the deep ball. In PPR leagues, I expect more from Royal and see this week as more of an outlier. The offense could not get much worse and should start moving in the right direction in the weeks ahead.
Steve Slaton (ADP 13.7): 17 yds rushing; 3 rec, 35 yds receiving
I find the Texans as a confusing team to watch. Some weeks, they look phenomenal and other weeks, they look like one of the worst teams in the league. Slaton only ran for 17 yards this week and with the Titans up next, Slaton could have more trouble getting anything going in the run game
Steve Smith (ADP 21.4): 3 rec, 21 yds
Delhomme would be an easy target here, but I would be more concerned with Smith and a lower level, DeAngelo Williams & Jonathan Stewart. Delhomme & Smith definitely have a connection for long-ball strikes and without that ongoing, Smith drops to a WR2
Anthony Gonzalez (ADP 46.9): 0 rec
Gonzalez is injured, but what is more concerning is this 2-6 week stretch. If this injury turns out to be a 4, 5 or 6-week injury, this is extremely concerning. Even when back, Gonzalez will need to regain trust & rapport with Manning, which is not a guarantee. Gonzalez’s situation will be one to watch in one of the oddest injuries I have seen in some time in NFL
Greg Olsen (ADP 62.7): 1 rec, 8 yds
I am intrigued to see if week 1 was an aberration for a guy who was hyped up for a huge season with Cutler this year. Olsen has been hyped as a upcoming TE1 and last night did nothing to inspire any confidence. There was very little to show of it against Green Bay and with Pittsburgh coming up, life does not get much easier
The Remains To Be Seen
Thomas Jones (ADP 58.7): 107 yds rushing, 2 TD’s
What will define Jones and Leon Washington is if the Jets do not have to come from behind in games. This is still the same team with a strong offensive line and a defense that arguably has become better with the additions of Bart Scott & Jim Leonhard. If the Jets can do well, the running game can do well and Jones could be better than people anticipated
Julius Jones (ADP 92.0): 117 yds rushing, 1 TD; 2 rec, 19 yds receiving
This stat line is more likely an aberration considering Jones ran against the Rams. But like his brother Thomas, Julius may be better than expected and for a guy selected in the late 8th to early 9th round, there could be some hidden value as a matchup starter in most leagues
Ben Roethlisberger (ADP 100.8): 363 yds passing, 1 TD, 2 INT
Big Ben had a very good and surprising stat total against the Titans last Thursday. Similar to the Jets, the evolution and way the Steelers win games will be the signal of what to expect of Ben in the future. Surely, 360 yards is not happening often, but will we see more 300 yd games out of Ben? From what was seen Thursday, I would not be shocked because the running game was ineffective for the Steelers.
Jeremy Shockey (ADP 117.8): 4 rec, 31 yds, 2 TD’s
Hard to say with Shockey who has never seem meet the hype fantasy owners have given him. But maybe with lower expectations, Shockey rises to have the season we have expected of him all along. Week 1 was a good start and if he can be a constant red-zone target for Brees, Shockey could be a solid start most weeks for fantasy players
Joe Flacco (ADP 141.4): 307 yds passing, 3 TD’s, 1 INT
Can you imagine if the Ravens start scoring points at that pace? Flacco looked great on Sunday albeit against a KC Defense that still does not stop very much. Next week should serve a stiffer test against the Chargers but two weeks in a row would be impressive for a guy who was asked to manage the game last year.
The Good
Reggie Wayne (ADP 17.2): 10 rec, 162 yds, 1 TD
If this is what Wayne will look like for the rest of the season with constant targets, then he is in for a huge year. The part that I will be curious about is if Wayne can continually get open without Gonzalez, but Wayne looked like Fitzgerald in the NFC divisional game where Fitzgerald got a lot of attention from the defense, but was still catching balls.
Drew Brees (ADP 11.2): 358 yds passing, 6 TDs, 1 INT
Brees looked like he had never even left the field from last year in week 1 against the Lions. With a stiffer Eagles defense coming up, seeing how Brees will fair will give fantasy owners a better assessment of how Brees will do this season. If Brees can still put up monster numbers against the Eagles and possibly without Pierre Thomas, he may be in the untradeable category for lots of owners
Adrian Peterson (ADP 1.3): 180 yds rushing, 3 TDs; 1 rec, 18 yds receiving
AP’s last run for a TD was phenomenal against the Browns. What probably assures owners even more is the 3 TD’s for Peterson and the determination of the Vikings to feed him the ball in the red zone. Players like Harvin and Favre make life easier for Peterson as week 1 has made him look like the RB that justifies the #1 pick in most drafts.
Randy Moss (ADP 8.2): 12 rec, 141 yds
Moss may not have a TD, but had consistent numbers with Brady back in the lineup. For Moss owners, the TD’s will come as Moss’ progress is correlated with Brady’s. Brady will continue to get better, look for the long ball more, and at some point, the Patriots will get back to their 07 form which means big points for Moss
Tony Romo (ADP 49.4): 353 yds, 3 TD’s
Romo put up a stat line in a game where I could have seen Dallas struggle. And at the beginning when watching the morning games, it looked like a game Dallas would barely win and put up mediocre numbers. Then all of a sudden, three long bombs to Williams, Crayton, and Austin. Romo is still maintaining is Mr. September/October by playing well early. Time will tell later in the season if he can produce like this late in the season.
I will write one more article in the week and keep up this pattern for the season. This will go over the waiver wire, but more correlated with that, why these waiver wire players are coveted. Most time it seems to be injury, but if fantasy owners can look in the distance and see poor play (i.e.: Tomlinson playing poorly, Sproles getting more time), these are things to look for in the weeks against when scouring the wires.
Ben Roethlisberger (ADP 100.8): 363 yds passing, 1 TD, 2 INT
Big Ben had a very good and surprising stat total against the Titans last Thursday. Similar to the Jets, the evolution and way the Steelers win games will be the signal of what to expect of Ben in the future. Surely, 360 yards is not happening often, but will we see more 300 yd games out of Ben? From what was seen Thursday, I would not be shocked because the running game was ineffective for the Steelers.
Jeremy Shockey (ADP 117.8): 4 rec, 31 yds, 2 TD’s
Hard to say with Shockey who has never seem meet the hype fantasy owners have given him. But maybe with lower expectations, Shockey rises to have the season we have expected of him all along. Week 1 was a good start and if he can be a constant red-zone target for Brees, Shockey could be a solid start most weeks for fantasy players
Joe Flacco (ADP 141.4): 307 yds passing, 3 TD’s, 1 INT
Can you imagine if the Ravens start scoring points at that pace? Flacco looked great on Sunday albeit against a KC Defense that still does not stop very much. Next week should serve a stiffer test against the Chargers but two weeks in a row would be impressive for a guy who was asked to manage the game last year.
The Good
Reggie Wayne (ADP 17.2): 10 rec, 162 yds, 1 TD
If this is what Wayne will look like for the rest of the season with constant targets, then he is in for a huge year. The part that I will be curious about is if Wayne can continually get open without Gonzalez, but Wayne looked like Fitzgerald in the NFC divisional game where Fitzgerald got a lot of attention from the defense, but was still catching balls.
Drew Brees (ADP 11.2): 358 yds passing, 6 TDs, 1 INT
Brees looked like he had never even left the field from last year in week 1 against the Lions. With a stiffer Eagles defense coming up, seeing how Brees will fair will give fantasy owners a better assessment of how Brees will do this season. If Brees can still put up monster numbers against the Eagles and possibly without Pierre Thomas, he may be in the untradeable category for lots of owners
Adrian Peterson (ADP 1.3): 180 yds rushing, 3 TDs; 1 rec, 18 yds receiving
AP’s last run for a TD was phenomenal against the Browns. What probably assures owners even more is the 3 TD’s for Peterson and the determination of the Vikings to feed him the ball in the red zone. Players like Harvin and Favre make life easier for Peterson as week 1 has made him look like the RB that justifies the #1 pick in most drafts.
Randy Moss (ADP 8.2): 12 rec, 141 yds
Moss may not have a TD, but had consistent numbers with Brady back in the lineup. For Moss owners, the TD’s will come as Moss’ progress is correlated with Brady’s. Brady will continue to get better, look for the long ball more, and at some point, the Patriots will get back to their 07 form which means big points for Moss
Tony Romo (ADP 49.4): 353 yds, 3 TD’s
Romo put up a stat line in a game where I could have seen Dallas struggle. And at the beginning when watching the morning games, it looked like a game Dallas would barely win and put up mediocre numbers. Then all of a sudden, three long bombs to Williams, Crayton, and Austin. Romo is still maintaining is Mr. September/October by playing well early. Time will tell later in the season if he can produce like this late in the season.
I will write one more article in the week and keep up this pattern for the season. This will go over the waiver wire, but more correlated with that, why these waiver wire players are coveted. Most time it seems to be injury, but if fantasy owners can look in the distance and see poor play (i.e.: Tomlinson playing poorly, Sproles getting more time), these are things to look for in the weeks against when scouring the wires.
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