We are closing in on the first month of the NFL season and as usual, there are many surprises littered throughout the league. The players are in the same group as teams success will nearly always correlate with breakout performances from both expected and unexpected players.
The Bad Continuing To Be Bad From Week 2
Roy Williams (ADP 45.2): 4 rec, 75 yds
This stat line is not that bad, but this has to be looked at from a contextually. Williams had targets deep where he could not make separation from the corner and endzone targets where he simply could not get a hold of a catchable ball. As mentioned before with players like Williams and LT, the NFL is rarely setup where players start doing better out of nowhere when there is clear evidence that they have been consistently having poor performances. I expect little of Williams as we move forward in the season.
The Bad Who Are Getting Better From Week 2
Donnie Avery (ADP 87.2): 3 rec, 12 yds
This game was not that much better for Avery, but with Laurent Robinson now out for the year, Avery is the clear #1 again. Before the year started, many sites discussed how Avery would be unable to get open with constant double coverage as the #1 and that may be true, but he cannot do worse than he has in the first three games. Also, Avery flourished with less competition last year and he is worth a stash moving forward in deeper leagues.
The Bad For Week 3
T.J Houshmandzadeh (ADP 35.2): 4 rec, 35 yds, 1 fumble
The bigger problem for Housh is not a below average total for week 3, but that Hasselbeck continues to be out with an injury that could linger for awhile. Seneca Wallace was rated as an adequate backup, but I disagree. The offense takes considerable steps back with Wallace at the helm and so do his WRs in this case. Housh needs Hasselbeck back fast for him to merit the selection he had in most drafts this year.
Roddy White (ADP 23.5): 4 rec, 24 yds
I am surprised that sites are still awaiting the breakout performance from White as he has been fairly average thus far. Gonzalez at TE does not help matters at all and I believe White will be in the WR2/WR3 mold this year and leaning towards WR3 status. He has shown very little for owners who drafted him high this year and I do not expect too much variance in his play.
Chris “Beanie” Wells (ADP 66.6): -2 yds rushing
In three games, Wells has not made any progress towards Hightower’s hold on the starting position. In fact, the argument can be made that Hightower is clearly the starter with Wells fumbling issues and lingering injuries. Wells looks like the Rashard Mendenhall of this year where an opportunity looks present, but little development to move towards the position
The Bad Continuing To Be Bad From Week 2
Roy Williams (ADP 45.2): 4 rec, 75 yds
This stat line is not that bad, but this has to be looked at from a contextually. Williams had targets deep where he could not make separation from the corner and endzone targets where he simply could not get a hold of a catchable ball. As mentioned before with players like Williams and LT, the NFL is rarely setup where players start doing better out of nowhere when there is clear evidence that they have been consistently having poor performances. I expect little of Williams as we move forward in the season.
The Bad Who Are Getting Better From Week 2
Donnie Avery (ADP 87.2): 3 rec, 12 yds
This game was not that much better for Avery, but with Laurent Robinson now out for the year, Avery is the clear #1 again. Before the year started, many sites discussed how Avery would be unable to get open with constant double coverage as the #1 and that may be true, but he cannot do worse than he has in the first three games. Also, Avery flourished with less competition last year and he is worth a stash moving forward in deeper leagues.
The Bad For Week 3
T.J Houshmandzadeh (ADP 35.2): 4 rec, 35 yds, 1 fumble
The bigger problem for Housh is not a below average total for week 3, but that Hasselbeck continues to be out with an injury that could linger for awhile. Seneca Wallace was rated as an adequate backup, but I disagree. The offense takes considerable steps back with Wallace at the helm and so do his WRs in this case. Housh needs Hasselbeck back fast for him to merit the selection he had in most drafts this year.
Roddy White (ADP 23.5): 4 rec, 24 yds
I am surprised that sites are still awaiting the breakout performance from White as he has been fairly average thus far. Gonzalez at TE does not help matters at all and I believe White will be in the WR2/WR3 mold this year and leaning towards WR3 status. He has shown very little for owners who drafted him high this year and I do not expect too much variance in his play.
Chris “Beanie” Wells (ADP 66.6): -2 yds rushing
In three games, Wells has not made any progress towards Hightower’s hold on the starting position. In fact, the argument can be made that Hightower is clearly the starter with Wells fumbling issues and lingering injuries. Wells looks like the Rashard Mendenhall of this year where an opportunity looks present, but little development to move towards the position
The Remains To Be Seen Again From Weeks 2 & 3
Terrell Owens (ADP 33.5): 0 rec
Owens has been disappointing along with the entire Bills offense this year. When Owens complains though, he does seem to get more targets and more attention from the offense. In sunny Miami, I expect more deep balls to be thrown and the addition of Marshawn Lynch will only help the passing game in weeks forward.
The Remains To Be Good From Weeks 2 & 3
Carson Palmer (ADP 86.5): 183 yds passing, 1 TD
Imagine the Bengals at 3-0 if not for the ridiculousness in week 1. Palmer seems to be getting better with time and having a strong running game to ease the burden. I expect Palmer to be very useful for fantasy owners moving forward as long as the running game can hold up well.
The Remains To Be Seen
Jerricho Cotchery (ADP 92.3): 8 rec, 108 yds, 1 TD
Cotchery’s success will go with the Jets success and I believe that will start with a freefall in New Orleans. For the owners who have moderate expectations for the Jets, I would say that is about right and that I expect the Jets to go through some rougher times towards the middle of the season. I would like to be proven wrong here as I really like the Jets, but I expect the rookie wall to hit for Sanchez and for everyone to fall with him, including Cotchery.
Santana Moss (ADP 74.6): 10 rec, 178 yds, 1 TD
The most inconsistent WR in the NFL showed his prowess against Detroit with a killer day. I expect similar against Tampa Bay and then a performance for 1 rec for 8 yds. This is to be expected and if you can pick the right weeks, you will be rewarded well. But if not, you will get a complete dud as it is all or nothing for Sinorice’s brother.
Darren Sproles (ADP 93.8): 41 yds rushing; 2 rec, 14 yds receiving
Sproles has looked rather mediocre in the running game, but is always capable of the big play as seen in week 3 against Baltimore. Sproles may be one of those few players like Marion Barber who do better when there is an equal time share as most of the success I have seen from Sproles is with LT actually in the lineup. Pittsburgh is a very tough matchup this week and should be interesting if Sproles can break off a long run or pass reception on Sunday night.
Terrell Owens (ADP 33.5): 0 rec
Owens has been disappointing along with the entire Bills offense this year. When Owens complains though, he does seem to get more targets and more attention from the offense. In sunny Miami, I expect more deep balls to be thrown and the addition of Marshawn Lynch will only help the passing game in weeks forward.
The Remains To Be Good From Weeks 2 & 3
Carson Palmer (ADP 86.5): 183 yds passing, 1 TD
Imagine the Bengals at 3-0 if not for the ridiculousness in week 1. Palmer seems to be getting better with time and having a strong running game to ease the burden. I expect Palmer to be very useful for fantasy owners moving forward as long as the running game can hold up well.
The Remains To Be Seen
Jerricho Cotchery (ADP 92.3): 8 rec, 108 yds, 1 TD
Cotchery’s success will go with the Jets success and I believe that will start with a freefall in New Orleans. For the owners who have moderate expectations for the Jets, I would say that is about right and that I expect the Jets to go through some rougher times towards the middle of the season. I would like to be proven wrong here as I really like the Jets, but I expect the rookie wall to hit for Sanchez and for everyone to fall with him, including Cotchery.
Santana Moss (ADP 74.6): 10 rec, 178 yds, 1 TD
The most inconsistent WR in the NFL showed his prowess against Detroit with a killer day. I expect similar against Tampa Bay and then a performance for 1 rec for 8 yds. This is to be expected and if you can pick the right weeks, you will be rewarded well. But if not, you will get a complete dud as it is all or nothing for Sinorice’s brother.
Darren Sproles (ADP 93.8): 41 yds rushing; 2 rec, 14 yds receiving
Sproles has looked rather mediocre in the running game, but is always capable of the big play as seen in week 3 against Baltimore. Sproles may be one of those few players like Marion Barber who do better when there is an equal time share as most of the success I have seen from Sproles is with LT actually in the lineup. Pittsburgh is a very tough matchup this week and should be interesting if Sproles can break off a long run or pass reception on Sunday night.
The Maybe Not As Good As I Thought From Week 2
Kellen Winslow (ADP 75.6): 3 rec, 14 yds
Winslow’s solid 2 week run may be on a freefall with a QB who has no experience in Josh Johnson. Hopefully the targets and garbage TDs continue and that may very well happen as Tampa will likely be behind in games. However, if they can completely manhandled in future weeks, there will be no semblance of an offense in passing or running, which is not good for Winslow owners.
The Good Turning Into Great From Week 2
Phillip Rivers (ADP 34.9): 303 yds passing, 1 rushing TD
Rivers is looking like the best QB outside of Brees, Manning, & Brady this year. Rivers never looks smooth on the field, but he throws a nice deep ball and has developing threats to such as Vince Jackson. Consistency has been there for a long time for Rivers and he may have been a good steal considering his ADP in most drafts.
The Good From Week 3
Kellen Winslow (ADP 75.6): 3 rec, 14 yds
Winslow’s solid 2 week run may be on a freefall with a QB who has no experience in Josh Johnson. Hopefully the targets and garbage TDs continue and that may very well happen as Tampa will likely be behind in games. However, if they can completely manhandled in future weeks, there will be no semblance of an offense in passing or running, which is not good for Winslow owners.
The Good Turning Into Great From Week 2
Phillip Rivers (ADP 34.9): 303 yds passing, 1 rushing TD
Rivers is looking like the best QB outside of Brees, Manning, & Brady this year. Rivers never looks smooth on the field, but he throws a nice deep ball and has developing threats to such as Vince Jackson. Consistency has been there for a long time for Rivers and he may have been a good steal considering his ADP in most drafts.
The Good From Week 3
Desean Jackson (ADP 45.3): 6 rec, 149 yds, 1 TD
I listen to the Dan LeBatard Radio Show daily as LeBatard’s sidekick noted Desean Jackson as a Hall of Famer. Well he certainly has lived up to that lofty statement this year and is clearly the #1 target for the Eagles, especially for the long ball. Jackson has rewarded owners who have taken a chance on him a round or two earlier and I would expect this to continue this season.
Steve Smith (ADP 136.8): 7 rec, 63 yds, 1 TD
The other Steve Smith is producing stats that were completely unexpected from the preseason. All that was heard about the Giants WR core was how the position was a platoon and Eli would be throwing the ball to everyone. 3 weeks in and thus far, Smith and Manningham have created separation as go-to targets. While I still am somewhat skeptical about Manningham, Smith seems to be developing not only as the possession WR, but a threat for TD’s as well. He is a WR2 and a great pick for anyone who got him anywhere close to his ADP
Willis McGahee (ADP 127.0): 67 yds rushing, 2 TD’s, 1 fumble
McGahee seems to have the LenDale White syndrome for 2009 to steal TD’s from the EVERDESERVING RAY RICE! (Guess who has Ray Rice…). I give McGahee a lot of credit though for making the most of his opportunities and in most leagues, McGahee is worth the start if he continues with this performance. Similar to Sproles and MBIII, McGahee may be more efficient in a timeshare and he has certainly showed this in 3 games.
Enjoy the games this week!
I listen to the Dan LeBatard Radio Show daily as LeBatard’s sidekick noted Desean Jackson as a Hall of Famer. Well he certainly has lived up to that lofty statement this year and is clearly the #1 target for the Eagles, especially for the long ball. Jackson has rewarded owners who have taken a chance on him a round or two earlier and I would expect this to continue this season.
Steve Smith (ADP 136.8): 7 rec, 63 yds, 1 TD
The other Steve Smith is producing stats that were completely unexpected from the preseason. All that was heard about the Giants WR core was how the position was a platoon and Eli would be throwing the ball to everyone. 3 weeks in and thus far, Smith and Manningham have created separation as go-to targets. While I still am somewhat skeptical about Manningham, Smith seems to be developing not only as the possession WR, but a threat for TD’s as well. He is a WR2 and a great pick for anyone who got him anywhere close to his ADP
Willis McGahee (ADP 127.0): 67 yds rushing, 2 TD’s, 1 fumble
McGahee seems to have the LenDale White syndrome for 2009 to steal TD’s from the EVERDESERVING RAY RICE! (Guess who has Ray Rice…). I give McGahee a lot of credit though for making the most of his opportunities and in most leagues, McGahee is worth the start if he continues with this performance. Similar to Sproles and MBIII, McGahee may be more efficient in a timeshare and he has certainly showed this in 3 games.
Enjoy the games this week!
No comments:
Post a Comment